Formation of predictive behavior of complex economic systems based on regression models and combined trends

Abstract

The article discusses the use of tax administration tools based on statistical analysis of non-traditional approaches, which make it possible in the short term to formulate forecasts and conclusions using the example of tax collections both at the regional and federal levels. The author proposes to use correlation analysis as the basis for tax administration, which will allow us to outline possible cause-and-effect relationships and take it as a basis for identifying the consistency of tax collection indicators, and use trend analysis to estimate the expected value of taxes and fees.